Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.008235 0.009661 0.011366 0.013589 0.016458 0.020109 0.025226
2025-09-14 0.006172 0.007774 0.009900 0.013028 0.017700 0.024769 0.037075
2025-09-21 0.005201 0.006863 0.009229 0.013022 0.019350 0.030390 0.053820
2025-09-28 0.004691 0.006433 0.009061 0.013607 0.022007 0.038887 0.083464
2025-10-05 0.004431 0.006297 0.009273 0.014817 0.026207 0.052997 0.146205
2025-10-12 0.004102 0.005988 0.009127 0.015329 0.029247 0.066933 0.241075
2025-10-19 0.003726 0.005543 0.008662 0.015096 0.030535 0.077411 0.359457
2025-10-26 0.003464 0.005250 0.008411 0.015227 0.032784 0.093378 0.607378
2025-11-02 0.003195 0.004912 0.008021 0.014961 0.033890 0.106772 0.981834
2025-11-09 0.002895 0.004487 0.007411 0.014072 0.032880 0.110502 1.313165
2025-11-16 0.002654 0.004147 0.006925 0.013380 0.032249 0.115892 1.865094
2025-11-23 0.002530 0.004006 0.006813 0.013561 0.034505 0.140270 4.535076
2025-11-30 0.002342 0.003746 0.006462 0.013166 0.034992 0.158077 11.743555
2025-12-07 0.002161 0.003485 0.006083 0.012637 0.034864 0.173260 39.815828
2025-12-14 0.002044 0.003335 0.005915 0.012632 0.036788 0.211814 9227.165572
2025-12-21 0.001982 0.003283 0.005951 0.013192 0.041475 0.300271 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001963 0.003312 0.006169 0.014351 0.050028 0.517825 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001901 0.003248 0.006165 0.014841 0.055897 0.792419 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001804 0.003104 0.005955 0.014618 0.057631 1.008294 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001734 0.003010 0.005855 0.014743 0.061794 1.484958 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001651 0.002883 0.005657 0.014489 0.063320 1.946121 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001545 0.002701 0.005309 0.013638 0.060042 1.932773 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001456 0.002550 0.005025 0.012975 0.057863 2.023908 NaN